When the 5G mobile phone arrived, it may be the most concerned issue of consumers. At the 2018 China Mobile Partners Conference, Wang Hengjiang, deputy general manager of China Mobile Terminal Company, said China Mobile is expected to have a 5G pre-service period in 2019. -5 test, prepaid chip, 30+ tests, prepaid terminals, mobile phones prior to more than 8,000 yuan, data terminal prices are more than 3,000 yuan.
The price of 8,000 yuan makes many consumers accidentally, according to the first half of 2018, the mobile phone sales and sales of mobile phone sales are approximately: Apple (5378 yuan), Huawei (2469 yuan) ), OPPO (1995), Samsung (1953 yuan), Vivo (1951 yuan), glory (1444 yuan), Jin Li (1367 yuan), millet (1303 yuan), Meizu (1031 yuan).
At present, the price of 8,000 yuan in the market is priced, and if the 5G mobile phone is priced of more than 8,000 yuan, it is inevitable to exceed most of the user's consumption level. In fact, we can understand the first batch of 5G mobile phones as an operator's internal testing machine and 5G friendly experience machine. The purpose is also very simple. It is to implement small-scale 5G actual scene tests, check the maturity of the entire system, and explore New model of 5G industry.
In 2019, 5G terminal development must experience technical verification, friendly user testing, initial development stage, and by 2020, 5G terminal will experience demand, expand, low cost, and scale development.
China Mobile is expected to reach 8-10 in the 5G formal business period, and commercial terminals can reach more than 60, and smartphone prices will fall to around 1,000 yuan. The price of data terminals will fall to around 300 yuan. China Mobile will focus on 10,000 terminals in 2019, and invested 1-2 billion yuan for terminal subsidies to develop friendly users in September.
So why is the 5G mobile phone selling this high?
Hardware costs and R & D costs are raised by 5G mobile phone, like operators, the main purpose of the previous mobile phone manufacturers launched 5G mobile phones is not profitable, but testing and exploration. 5G mobile phone needs to support millimeter waves and other new technologies, and need to be compatible with 4G and previous networks, chip, radiofrequency, etc., is high. When the industry matures, according to the rhythm of high school, the number and price of 5G mobile phones are popular .
China Mobile released the "5G Terminal Product White Paper" clearly proposed, 2019 in commercial 5G mobile phones support at least five models (NR / TD-LTE / LTE FDD / WCDMA / GSM), SA mode, smartphones support 2T4R, etc. These hardware indicators are objectively pulled 5G mobile phone manufacturing costs.
In addition, Huawei, Vivo, Xiaomi, OPPO, ZTE and China Mobile's own brand will launch the first 5G test total section in the first quarter of 2019. The basics of the first batch of 5G mobile phone manufacturers are basically TOP 10 brands. Apple may be a little later, probably launch 5G mobile phones in 2020.
The price of "Big Brother" in the 1990s has also sold 10,000 yuan, and the terminal technology is more inconspicuous. Industry insiders, around 2019, friendly experience version 5G mobile phone will be available, the big brands in the second half of the year will launch "commodity mobile phone", 2020 5G official commercial use, 5G mobile phone ushered in the real prosperity period.
At home, 5G mobile phones are not a mobile phone manufacturer, and recently, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has just clarified the 5G band allocation. It is a step in which the commercial official step is taken. The next step is roughly: operator waiting for 5G license formal issuance, mobile phone manufacturers Complete the specification Approves the "three certificates" (3C card, model number, networked license), and equipment manufacturers provide products that meet the operational trademarks and their joint completion of 5G network coverage, mobile phone manufacturers and new manufacturers have launched 5G mobile phones (chip manufacturers to mobile phones) The manufacturer's support directly affects the brand 5G mobile phone launch time), the chip, terminal, radio frequency and instrument laminar downstream of the terminal industry chain have achieved 5G mobile phones.
5G mobile phone listing will definitely be high-priced, product type, a mobile phone manufacturer may only have one or two flagship high-end products to support 5G, follow-up and industrial mature prices continue to decline, high-priced time will last for about a year.
The 5G mobile phone in 2019 is "Trying Machine", the price is high and not 100% mature; the 5G mobile phone in 2020 is a mature form, but the 4G mobile phone will still be an absolute mainstream of the market. At present, the consumer average switching cycle is probably 2 In the year, 5G commercial will accelerate the desire of user group; 1-2 years after 5G commercial use, 5G mobile phone high school low layout will be complete, and cost-effective gradually chase 4G mobile phones.
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Original address: https://www.eeboard.com/news/5g-196/
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